On September 14, 2022, IRCC announced the latest Express Entry draw results for round #231. In this all-program draw, a total of 3,250 candidates received an invitation to apply (ITA). Canada invited 500 more Express Entry candidates than in the previous draw. The CRS cut-off score was 511, which has come down by 5 points from the last draw held on August 31, 2022.
Check out the latest express entry pool breakdown as of September 12, 2022.
The Next Express Entry Draw Prediction: September 28, 2022
The Next Express Entry Draw will be held on September 28, 2022. Will CRS score come below 500 in the next draw? Let’s find out.
In order to predict the future draws we need an important metric, that is the number of candidates added to the pool between September 14, 2022, and September 28, 2022.
Since there is no way to predict it precisely, let’s take an average number of candidates added to the pool in the past three draws. In today’s Express Entry Draw, a total of 3,250 invitations were issued, out of which 466 straight away went to the 601-Above CRS range. The rest of the 2,784 invitations were issued to the 501-600 range.
Please refer to the table below for the average no. of Candidates to be added before the Next Express Entry Draw.
Just like this draw, in the Next Express Entry draw only candidates within 601 and above and 501-600 CRS ranges will receive invitations.
For the 501-600 range, there is a big difference between 7,431 (before the draw) and 4,152 (after the draw), the cut-off score for the Next Express Entry Draw will be around 501-511.
This is a broad range, and we need to narrow it down. If we assume numeric distribution between 501 and 511, which means all candidates are evenly spread out and there is no skew.
So, 7,431 candidates are evenly among 10 points (501-511). Sending out 3,279 invitations will cover (3279/7431)*10 which equals 4 points. So the next cut-off score may come down 4 points bringing it to 507.
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How to increase your CRS Score?
Here are 6 alternatives for candidates having less than a 500 CRS Score:
1. Grab a valid job offer from a Canadian employer
If you think you have enough experience and calibre to obtain a job offer from a Canadian employer, then this might help you with your CRS score. A job offer will add up to 200 extra points to your final CRS Score. Although it is not a piece of cake to get a job offer.
Study Permit to PR pathway is one of the easiest ways to fix the issue of Low CRS. This not only ensures entry to Canada but also helps you gain relevant experience to apply for Express Entry inside Canada. Though there are many candidates who are above 35, 40, and 50 years of age, they don’t think that a study permit is a good option. It is not true at all.
You can also apply for jobs while in Canada on a visitor visa. An employer in Canada must issue you a work permit if you want to apply for Express Entry. You can find a job in Canada with the help of your friends, family or other connections.
Provincial Nominee Programs help individuals who want to settle in a specific province in Canada. The good thing is that the PNPs can be aligned with Express Entry, and you can get up to 600 points which will surely make your CRS score exceed the cut-off.
No matter where you settle in Canada, having any French-language skills is considered beneficial. Your French skills can help push you over the finish line by adding up to 50 points to your CRS score.
6. Bill C-19
Due to the introduction of Bill C-19, many applicants will be able to receive an invitation regardless of their Low CRS Scores. In other words, if your CRS Score is below 500, you should wait for occupation-specific draws with individual cut-off scores.
Team ELAAR experienced immigration consultants can assist you with your Express Entry process. You can get in touch with our professionals here. Our Team Lead, Mr. Keshav Sharma, a Regulated Canadian Immigration Consultant (RCIC) with extensive experience in the immigration sector. Let’s make your Canadian dream a reality together.